Lens vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 0
LIL
24%
25%
52%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GIR
2 - 3
LEN
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 2
LOR
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
LEN
67%
19%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 2
ASS
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
STR
3 - 0
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
LYO
3 - 1
STR
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
STR
3 - 1
BRE
48%
25%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
STR
1 - 1
TRO
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PSG
4 - 2
STR
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |