Lens vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
NÎM
1 - 1
LEN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LEN
2 - 1
GIR
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 3
LEN
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 0
PSG
5%
12%
83%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 2
LEN
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 3
REN
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
NAN
2 - 2
ASS
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 2
ASS
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ASS
2 - 0
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
ASS
2 - 0
LOR
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |