Ligue 1 round 17

Lens vs PSG analysis

Lens PSG
77 ELO 75
23.6% Tilt 11.7%
90º General ELO ranking 34º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62.5%
Lens
19.9%
Draw
17.6%
PSG

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
Lens
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.6%
Win probability
PSG
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lens
-1%
+8%
PSG

ELO progression

Lens
PSG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lens
Lens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 1977
MON
Monaco
3 - 0
Lens
LEN
54%
23%
23%
77 73 4 0
02 Nov. 1977
LEN
Lens
6 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
76 80 4 +1
28 Oct. 1977
ASS
Saint-Étienne
0 - 1
Lens
LEN
65%
20%
15%
75 84 9 +1
22 Oct. 1977
MET
Metz
2 - 1
Lens
LEN
54%
23%
23%
76 73 3 -1
19 Oct. 1977
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Lens
LEN
55%
21%
24%
76 79 3 0

Matches

PSG
PSG
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 1977
PSG
PSG
4 - 1
Saint-Étienne
ASS
43%
26%
31%
74 83 9 0
04 Nov. 1977
NÎM
Nîmes
2 - 1
PSG
PSG
47%
25%
28%
75 71 4 -1
28 Oct. 1977
PSG
PSG
2 - 2
Stade Lavallois
STL
66%
20%
14%
75 69 6 0
14 Oct. 1977
PSG
PSG
8 - 2
Troyes
TRO
66%
20%
14%
74 65 9 +1
11 Oct. 1977
NAN
Nantes
3 - 1
PSG
PSG
65%
19%
16%
75 83 8 -1