Lens vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1977 |
MON
3 - 0
LEN
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
LEN
6 - 0
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1977 |
ASS
0 - 1
LEN
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
MET
2 - 1
LEN
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
LAZ
2 - 0
LEN
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1977 |
PSG
4 - 1
ASS
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1977 |
NÎM
2 - 1
PSG
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1977 |
PSG
2 - 2
STL
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1977 |
PSG
8 - 2
TRO
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1977 |
NAN
3 - 1
PSG
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |