Lens vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
24.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
LEN
2 - 0
SPI
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
LEN
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
LEN
4 - 3
CHA
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
ANG
3 - 2
LEN
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
LEN
2 - 0
GAZ
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NAN
2 - 0
LHA
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 1
NAN
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 1
ARL
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LMU
0 - 3
NAN
40%
29%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
NAN
3 - 1
TOU
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |