Ligue 1 . Jor. 11

Lens vs Montpellier analysis

Lens Montpellier
82 ELO 77
0% Tilt 2.4%
109º General ELO ranking 376º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
55.4%
Lens
23%
Draw
21.6%
Montpellier

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
Lens
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.6%
Win probability
Montpellier
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lens
-2%
-1%
Montpellier

Points and table prediction

Lens
Their league position
Montpellier
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
84
50
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSG
85
85
100%
Lens
84
84
100%
Olympique Marseille
73
73
100%
Stade Rennais
68
68
100%
Lille
67
67
100%
Monaco
65
65
100%
Olympique Lyonnais
62
62
100%
Clermont
59
59
100%
Nice
58
58
100%
Lorient
10º
55
55
10º
100%
Stade de Reims
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Montpellier
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Toulouse
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Stade Brestois
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Strasbourg
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Nantes
16º
36
36
16º
100%
Auxerre
17º
35
35
17º
100%
Ajaccio
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Troyes
19º
24
24
19º
100%
Angers SCO
20º
18
18
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lens
Montpellier
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
100% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lens
Montpellier
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lens
Lens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2022
LIL
Lille
1 - 0
Lens
LEN
46%
26%
28%
82 85 3 0
02 Oct. 2022
LEN
Lens
1 - 0
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
26%
23%
51%
82 86 4 0
18 Sep. 2022
NAN
Nantes
0 - 0
Lens
LEN
34%
26%
40%
81 78 3 +1
09 Sep. 2022
LEN
Lens
1 - 0
Troyes
TRO
61%
22%
18%
81 73 8 0
04 Sep. 2022
REI
Stade de Reims
1 - 1
Lens
LEN
33%
26%
41%
81 78 3 0

Matches

Montpellier
Montpellier
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2022
MPL
Montpellier
0 - 2
Monaco
MON
25%
24%
52%
78 86 8 0
02 Oct. 2022
TFC
Toulouse
4 - 2
Montpellier
MPL
44%
24%
31%
78 77 1 0
17 Sep. 2022
MPL
Montpellier
2 - 1
Strasbourg
STR
43%
26%
32%
77 79 2 +1
11 Sep. 2022
ANG
Angers SCO
2 - 1
Montpellier
MPL
30%
26%
44%
78 71 7 -1
04 Sep. 2022
MPL
Montpellier
1 - 3
Lille
LIL
33%
26%
41%
79 85 6 -1
X