Europa League 1/16
Global 5-3
Lens vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
LYO
1 - 0
LEN
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
LEN
3 - 2
PSG
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
MET
0 - 0
LEN
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1999 |
VIT
1 - 1
LEN
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
LEN
1 - 1
REN
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
HER
0 - 1
KAI
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
KAI
2 - 1
S04
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1999 |
KAI
2 - 0
TOT
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
STU
0 - 1
KAI
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1999 |
TOT
1 - 0
KAI
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |