Lens vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 3
LHA
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 0
ORL
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
PFC
0 - 2
LEN
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 4
CAE
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 2
LEN
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
BRU
2 - 3
GEN
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 4
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CER
1 - 0
GEN
14%
20%
66%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 1
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
GEN
4 - 1
STR
58%
22%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |