Lens vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
24.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1998 |
MON
2 - 0
LEN
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASN
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
SOC
0 - 4
LEN
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1998 |
LEN
1 - 1
LOR
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
TFC
3 - 2
LEN
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
LEI
1 - 1
ARS
30%
28%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARS
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
ARS
0 - 0
CHA
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARS
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1998 |
ARS
2 - 1
NTT
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |