Lens Sub 19 vs Caen Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
8º
3º
36
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
LEN
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
PSV
2 - 0
LEN
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 1
DKQ
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 1
PSV
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AMI
1 - 1
LEN
42%
23%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caen Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 1
REI
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
CAE
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 0
MFC
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
0 - 5
CAE
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 0
CHA
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |