Lens II vs US Pays de Cassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
10º
3º
44
1º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
IRI
1 - 2
LEN
38%
23%
40%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LPV
2 - 2
LEN
10%
14%
76%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 0
SAN
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 0
LEN
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 0
COM
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
US Pays de Cassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PDC
5 - 2
SAN
29%
23%
49%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 2
PDC
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PDC
3 - 0
COM
14%
18%
69%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +4 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
PDC
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PDC
0 - 2
MAR
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |