Lens II vs Mantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
AAC
1 - 0
LEN
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ROY
2 - 3
LEN
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 0
LEN
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LEN
0 - 1
BOU
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 2
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 1
BOU
33%
26%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AAC
1 - 0
MAN
48%
26%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 0
TRO
31%
25%
45%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
DIE
2 - 0
MAN
48%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
IRI
4 - 1
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |