Lens II vs Amiens AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
2º
19
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
LEN
14%
19%
67%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LEN
6 - 1
USM
69%
18%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
IRI
2 - 0
LEN
21%
21%
58%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 0
LON
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FEI
1 - 3
LEN
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Amiens AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AAC
4 - 0
ESL
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AMI
1 - 1
AAC
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AAC
1 - 2
LIL
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 0
AAC
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AAC
1 - 3
FEI
17%
23%
61%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |