Lemense vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
70.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TAU
3 - 0
LEM
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RIO
3 - 0
LEM
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LEM
1 - 0
SAO
15%
21%
65%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LEM
1 - 1
DES
13%
18%
69%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PRI
1 - 1
LEM
64%
21%
14%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 2
PPE
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 2
VEL
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 0
VEL
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 2
RIO
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 2
VEL
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |