Lemense vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
LEM
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LEM
0 - 2
POR
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
LEM
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
3 - 0
LEM
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
LEM
3 - 2
NOV
7%
13%
80%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
VEL
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
XVD
24%
27%
50%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |