Leixões vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
LEX
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 1
LEX
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
LEX
2 - 0
VIL
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
LEX
1 - 0
CHA
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
LEX
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
ARO
1 - 0
EST
22%
26%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
ARO
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 0
MAF
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARO
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 2
ACA
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |