Leiston vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
65.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
LEI
1 - 4
PET
15%
19%
67%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
LEI
0 - 0
AFC
21%
21%
58%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HIT
2 - 2
LEI
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
LEI
2 - 2
RUS
25%
23%
53%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
LEI
1 - 2
LEI
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
WEY
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NOT
4 - 2
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
DAG
1 - 2
BAR
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 5
EAS
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
DAR
1 - 0
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |