Leioa vs Portugalete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SDA
2 - 1
LEI
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 1
ARE
46%
25%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 2
ALA
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
RAC
2 - 0
LEI
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
RUN
5 - 0
LEI
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
BAR
39%
29%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 1
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
ALA
33%
29%
39%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 0
POR
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SDA
2 - 1
POR
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |