Leioa vs Aurrera KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 0
LEI
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BEA
2 - 1
LEI
43%
24%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 3
SFC
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
DEU
2 - 0
LEI
27%
25%
49%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 0
LON
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 2
URD
55%
24%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 0
AFT
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CDU
1 - 1
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
AUR
2 - 0
BAS
21%
26%
54%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +3 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BTG
1 - 1
AUR
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |