Leigh vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
CRA
2 - 2
LEI
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
LEI
1 - 4
BUR
24%
25%
51%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
SCA
3 - 0
LEI
75%
16%
8%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2005 |
CUM
3 - 0
LEI
76%
17%
8%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
LEI
0 - 3
BAR
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 2
EXE
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 1
HER
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
STA
2 - 1
MOR
48%
24%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 0
DAG
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2005 |
MOR
0 - 0
ALD
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |