Leicester vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOU
1 - 1
LEI
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
BCF
1 - 4
LEI
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 1
TOT
31%
25%
45%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WHU
1 - 2
LEI
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LEI
4 - 2
SUN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ASV
2 - 2
SUN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
ASV
5 - 3
NOT
79%
16%
5%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CRY
2 - 1
ASV
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ASV
0 - 1
MUD
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BOU
0 - 1
ASV
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |