Legnago Salus vs Virtus Bolzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
13º
1º
53
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 33 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
85% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 37% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legnago Salus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
LEG
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
1 - 1
AST
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
LEG
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
0 - 0
SDA
43%
26%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
LEG
14%
20%
66%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
4 - 2
CJA
23%
23%
53%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACE
2 - 1
VIR
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 2
CAL
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MES
2 - 0
VIR
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
VIR
4 - 2
ADB
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |