Legião vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legião
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CEI
1 - 0
LEG
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
LEG
2 - 1
BSE
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 1
LEG
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
LEG
2 - 0
BDF
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
DOM
3 - 1
PAR
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
GAM
1 - 1
DOM
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
DOM
1 - 2
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CEI
1 - 1
DOM
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
GAM
1 - 2
DOM
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +1 |