Legião vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legião
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
GAM
3 - 1
LEG
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
LEG
0 - 1
DOM
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CEI
1 - 0
LEG
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
LEG
2 - 1
BSE
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 1
LEG
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 1
BRA
20%
22%
58%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
BRA
4 - 1
BDF
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GAM
0 - 1
BRA
40%
24%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BSE
1 - 0
BRA
9%
17%
74%
|
68 | 25 | 43 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 1
CEI
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |