Leganés vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 2
LEG
31%
29%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LEG
1 - 0
SDA
77%
18%
5%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 1
LEG
35%
30%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
EIB
1 - 1
LEG
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LEG
1 - 2
IBI
70%
22%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
ZAR
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
LUG
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 2
HUE
20%
26%
55%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
FUE
1 - 1
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 2
VAD
18%
25%
57%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |