Leeuwarder Zwaluwen vs VV Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
17.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
13º
11º
9
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FVC
0 - 1
LEE
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 4
DRA
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LEE
3 - 3
HOO
22%
19%
59%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LEE
5 - 0
TFE
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 1
LEE
69%
18%
14%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
VV Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VVG
3 - 4
BRO
16%
18%
67%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
TFE
2 - 0
VVG
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ORA
2 - 0
VVG
82%
11%
7%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VVG
2 - 2
PKC
37%
20%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BLA
3 - 1
VVG
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |