Leek Town vs Runcorn Linnets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leek Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
LEE
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
LEE
0 - 0
KID
73%
18%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
RUN
2 - 0
LEE
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LEE
4 - 0
MOS
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LEE
3 - 1
BOO
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
RUN
0 - 0
COL
71%
18%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
PRE
0 - 1
RUN
20%
22%
57%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
RUN
2 - 0
LEE
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +3 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
RUN
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
RYL
2 - 0
RUN
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |