Leeds United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
LEE
3 - 0
SOU
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
WOL
1 - 0
LEE
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ARS
4 - 2
LEE
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
LEE
2 - 0
CRY
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
LEE
1 - 2
EVE
22%
23%
54%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 2
LEI
24%
23%
53%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BHA
0 - 0
ASV
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 0
ARS
24%
23%
53%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 3
WHU
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 1
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |