noscript image

Poland Fourth Division. Matchday 32

Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Ursus Warszawa analysis

Lechia T. Mazowiecki Ursus Warszawa
6 ELO 6
25% Tilt 56%
11196º General ELO ranking 11276º
138º Country ELO ranking 144º
ELO win probability
40.7%
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
22.7%
Draw
36.5%
Ursus Warszawa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36.5%
Win probability
Ursus Warszawa
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
+53%
+23%
Ursus Warszawa

Points and table prediction

Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Their league position
Ursus Warszawa
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
53
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Polonia Warszawa
81
81
100%
KS Legionovia Legionowo
80
80
100%
Swit Nowy Dwor
59
59
100%
Legia Warszawa II
58
58
100%
KS Blonianka
57
57
100%
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
56
56
100%
LKS Lodz II
54
54
100%
Ursus Warszawa
53
53
100%
Jagiellonia II
52
52
100%
Broń Radom
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Unia Skierniewice
11º
49
49
11º
100%
Pelikan Lowicz
12º
46
46
12º
100%
Pilica Białobrzegi
13º
45
45
13º
100%
Kutno
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Wikielec
15º
42
42
15º
33%
Znicz Biała Piska
16º
42
42
16º
33%
Mamry Gizycko
17º
42
42
17º
33%
Sokol Aleksandrow
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Wissa Szczuczyn
19º
21
21
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Ursus Warszawa
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ursus Warszawa
UWA
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
LTM
Znicz Biała Piska
ZBP
Sokol Aleksandrow
SAL
Kutno
KFC
Legia Warszawa II
LWA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
1%
X%
2%
ELO LTM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2022
SWI
Swit Nowy Dwor
2 - 0
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
LTM
46%
27%
26%
117 182 65 -1
08 May. 2022
LTM
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
2 - 0
Jagiellonia II
JAG
46%
27%
27%
116 116 0 +1
30 Apr. 2022
KSB
KS Blonianka
2 - 1
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
LTM
55%
24%
21%
116 519 403 0
27 Apr. 2022
LTM
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
0 - 1
Polonia Warszawa
POL
41%
28%
31%
117 224 -107 -1
23 Apr. 2022
USK
Unia Skierniewice
3 - 2
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
LTM
46%
27%
27%
118 122 4 -1

Matches

Ursus Warszawa
Ursus Warszawa
1%
X%
2%
ELO UWA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2022
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
3 - 2
Kutno
KFC
46%
27%
27%
110 116 -6 +1
07 May. 2022
SAL
Sokol Aleksandrow
0 - 2
Ursus Warszawa
UWA
45%
27%
28%
109 122 13 +1
04 May. 2022
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
2 - 1
Unia Skierniewice
USK
46%
27%
27%
109 122 -13 +1
27 Apr. 2022
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
1 - 0
Swit Nowy Dwor
SWI
41%
28%
31%
108 183 -75 +1
23 Apr. 2022
JAG
Jagiellonia II
2 - 0
Ursus Warszawa
UWA
45%
27%
28%
109 115 6 -1