Lech Poznań vs Pogon Szczecin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
STA
1 - 1
LPO
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
LPO
0 - 2
GLA
22%
22%
56%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
LPO
4 - 0
POD
76%
16%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
SLB
4 - 0
LPO
75%
16%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
GDA
0 - 1
LPO
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
WAR
1 - 2
POG
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
POG
2 - 0
STA
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
PLO
0 - 0
POG
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
GÓR
2 - 1
POG
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
PLO
1 - 1
POG
36%
25%
38%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |