Lech Poznań vs Górnik Zabrze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LPO
1 - 0
RCH
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 0
LPO
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
LPO
0 - 0
BEL
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LPO
0 - 1
POD
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TER
3 - 1
LPO
22%
27%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
GÓR
2 - 0
SLA
27%
25%
49%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RCH
1 - 0
GÓR
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GÓR
1 - 1
CRA
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
GÓR
2 - 2
ZAL
43%
26%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TER
3 - 0
GÓR
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |