Lecce vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 1
LEC
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 0
ASS
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 2
LEC
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 3
LEC
39%
25%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 2
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 0
BRE
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
PRG
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 1
USA
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
USC
0 - 3
PRG
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 1
NUO
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |