Lecce vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 1
NUO
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEC
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LEC
0 - 0
PRG
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 1
LEC
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 0
ASS
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIC
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 2
PAR
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
REG
2 - 1
PAR
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SPA
2 - 2
PAR
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |