Lecce vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
VIC
0 - 0
LEC
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
VER
0 - 0
LEC
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 3
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 1
LEC
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
LEC
3 - 3
ACM
31%
28%
42%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2001 |
PAR
0 - 1
FIO
56%
24%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2001 |
PAR
3 - 1
INT
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
REG
2 - 0
PAR
19%
28%
53%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
PAR
4 - 0
NAP
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
VIC
0 - 1
PAR
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |