Lecce vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
CAG
0 - 0
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 1
LAZ
12%
21%
68%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
SAS
4 - 2
LEC
73%
16%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
LEC
1 - 2
SAM
25%
24%
52%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2020 |
JUV
4 - 0
LEC
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 1
VER
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
FIO
0 - 0
CAG
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 2
FIO
27%
27%
47%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 3
SAS
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
LAZ
2 - 1
FIO
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |