Lecce vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
LIV
3 - 1
LEC
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MON
4 - 1
LEC
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAG
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LEC
2 - 0
FON
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
REG
0 - 1
LEC
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
PAD
5 - 1
LIV
43%
25%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PAD
1 - 0
ASG
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
REG
1 - 1
PAD
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
PAD
21%
27%
53%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAD
1 - 1
ABN
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |