Serie AB Sub 18 round 30

Lecce U18 vs Roma U18 analysis

Lecce U18 Roma U18
27 ELO 34
-13% Tilt 0.7%
8574º General ELO ranking 5982º
327º Country ELO ranking 228º
ELO win probability
19.1%
Lecce U18
19.5%
Draw
61.4%
Roma U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
Lecce U18
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
61.4%
Win probability
Roma U18
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lecce U18
+27%
+26%
Roma U18

Points and table prediction

Lecce U18
Their league position
Roma U18
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
14º
14º
60
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter U18
66
66
100%
Atalanta U18
59
62
58.5%
Roma U18
60
60
58.5%
Lazio U18
56
59
89.5%
Genoa U18
53
54
93.5%
Cagliari U18
50
53
54.5%
Empoli U18
49
52
25%
Milan U18
50
51
46%
Parma U18
50
50
31%
 Bologna U18
10º
46
49
10º
85.5%
Fiorentina U18
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Sassuolo U18
14º
32
35
12º
30.5%
Torino U18
12º
34
34
13º
31.5%
Lecce U18
13º
32
32
14º
78.5%
Hellas Verona U18
15º
25
25
15º
100%
Sampdoria U18
16º
21
21
16º
100%
Frosinone U18
17º
9
9
17º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lecce U18
Roma U18
100% 100%

ELO progression

Lecce U18
Roma U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lecce U18
Lecce U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
LEC
Lecce U18
0 - 2
 Bologna U18
BOL
32%
22%
46%
26 28 2 0
17 Apr. 2024
EMP
Empoli U18
3 - 1
Lecce U18
LEC
48%
22%
30%
26 28 2 0
09 Apr. 2024
LEC
Lecce U18
3 - 1
Milan U18
MIL
24%
23%
53%
23 37 14 +3
20 Mar. 2024
HEL
Hellas Verona U18
2 - 3
Lecce U18
LEC
46%
21%
33%
22 22 0 +1
10 Mar. 2024
LEC
Lecce U18
0 - 0
Frosinone U18
FRO
82%
12%
6%
23 9 14 -1

Matches

Roma U18
Roma U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2024
ASR
Roma U18
5 - 3
Hellas Verona U18
HEL
81%
11%
8%
36 21 15 0
21 Apr. 2024
FRO
Frosinone U18
1 - 6
Roma U18
ASR
11%
15%
74%
36 10 26 0
14 Apr. 2024
ASR
Roma U18
4 - 3
Cagliari U18
CAG
61%
19%
21%
35 31 4 +1
10 Apr. 2024
ASR
Roma U18
5 - 2
Sampdoria U18
SAM
78%
13%
9%
34 22 12 +1
07 Apr. 2024
FIO
Fiorentina U18
1 - 4
Roma U18
ASR
40%
24%
36%
33 32 1 +1