Leça FC vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
74.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 1
SAL
33%
28%
40%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GON
1 - 2
LEC
33%
27%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 1
ARO
6%
16%
78%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LEC
0 - 1
CAS
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
POM
0 - 4
LEC
35%
22%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
GFC
1 - 1
ARO
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
GFC
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 1
SPB
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 5
GFC
6%
13%
81%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
GFC
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |