Leça FC vs Cinfães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
5º
1º
41
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
COI
0 - 3
LEC
18%
21%
62%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
0 - 0
ADM
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
LEC
32%
26%
41%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
2 - 2
ADM
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
3 - 1
REG
74%
15%
11%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALP
1 - 2
CIN
44%
23%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CIN
2 - 2
BMA
32%
27%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
CIN
36%
24%
41%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CIN
3 - 2
FCB
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CIN
1 - 0
GFC
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |