Campeonato de Portugal Grupo C. Jor. 3

Leça FC vs Castro Daire analysis

Leça FC Castro Daire
40 ELO 37
-20.1% Tilt -4.9%
19791º General ELO ranking 21239º
318º Country ELO ranking 385º
ELO win probability
54%
Leça FC
25%
Draw
21%
Castro Daire

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
Leça FC
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21%
Win probability
Castro Daire
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leça FC
-40%
-45%
Castro Daire

ELO progression

Leça FC
Castro Daire
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leça FC
Leça FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2021
POM
Pombal
0 - 4
Leça FC
LEC
35%
22%
43%
39 33 6 0
19 Sep. 2021
LEC
Leça FC
1 - 0
Santa Cruz de Alvarenga
ALV
71%
17%
12%
39 23 16 0
12 Sep. 2021
LEC
Leça FC
1 - 0
Lusitania FC
LUS
36%
27%
37%
38 41 3 +1
29 Aug. 2021
ESP
Espinho
1 - 2
Leça FC
LEC
54%
24%
22%
37 41 4 +1
30 May. 2021
LEC
Leça FC
2 - 2
Gondomar
GON
46%
25%
29%
37 36 1 0

Matches

Castro Daire
Castro Daire
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2021
RAB
Rabo Peixe
2 - 3
Castro Daire
CAS
25%
23%
52%
36 24 12 0
19 Sep. 2021
CAS
Castro Daire
0 - 0
Espinho
ESP
36%
27%
37%
35 39 4 +1
11 Sep. 2021
CAS
Castro Daire
1 - 0
Trancoso
TRA
69%
18%
14%
35 17 18 0
29 Aug. 2021
GOU
Gouveia
1 - 2
Castro Daire
CAS
51%
22%
27%
34 34 0 +1
10 Apr. 2021
CAS
Castro Daire
2 - 1
Anadia
ANA
20%
24%
56%
32 44 12 +2
X