Non League Premier Sur Central Jor. 31

Leamington vs Royston Town analysis

Leamington Royston Town
48 ELO 36
-16.6% Tilt -15.2%
4509º General ELO ranking 6173º
172º Country ELO ranking 282º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Leamington
23%
Draw
18.2%
Royston Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
Leamington
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.2%
Win probability
Royston Town
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leamington
+14%
+27%
Royston Town

Points and table prediction

Leamington
Their league position
Royston Town
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
17º
57
22º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AFC Telford United
86
86
32.5%
Needham Market
85
85
45%
Mickleover Sports FC
84
85
56.5%
Leamington
72
73
64.5%
Redditch United
70
70
36%
Stratford Town
69
70
35.5%
Stamford
67
68
41%
Nuneaton Town
20º
34
66
25%
St Ives Town
64
64
69%
Halesowen Town
62
62
10º
61.5%
Royston Town
10º
57
58
11º
69%
Coalville Town
11º
55
56
12º
46.5%
Stourbridge
14º
52
55
13º
9.5%
Barwell
13º
54
55
14º
45%
Leiston
12º
55
55
15º
3.5%
Kettering Town
15º
48
48
16º
99%
AFC Sudbury
16º
46
46
17º
65%
Alvechurch FC
17º
45
45
18º
49.5%
Bromsgrove Sporting
18º
44
44
19º
64.5%
Hitchin Town
19º
43
43
20º
100%
Berkhamsted
21º
24
24
21º
89.5%
Long Eaton United
22º
22
22
22º
89.5%
Expected probabilities
Leamington
Royston Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
91.5% 0%
Mid-table
8.5% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Leamington
Royston Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leamington
Leamington
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
BRO
Bromsgrove Sporting
0 - 3
Leamington
LEA
23%
26%
51%
47 35 12 0
27 Jan. 2024
LEA
Leamington
1 - 1
Alvechurch FC
ALV
63%
22%
15%
47 36 11 0
06 Jan. 2024
BER
Berkhamsted
0 - 2
Leamington
LEA
18%
25%
57%
47 32 15 0
01 Jan. 2024
LEA
Leamington
1 - 1
Nuneaton Town
NUN
39%
26%
36%
47 46 1 0
26 Dec. 2023
STR
Stratford Town
2 - 2
Leamington
LEA
42%
26%
32%
47 44 3 0

Matches

Royston Town
Royston Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2024
ROY
Royston Town
2 - 2
AFC Telford United
AFC
33%
26%
41%
37 43 6 0
30 Jan. 2024
ALV
Alvechurch FC
1 - 0
Royston Town
ROY
39%
24%
37%
39 36 3 -2
27 Jan. 2024
BER
Berkhamsted
0 - 3
Royston Town
ROY
23%
21%
56%
38 29 9 +1
13 Jan. 2024
BRO
Bromsgrove Sporting
0 - 1
Royston Town
ROY
41%
25%
34%
38 38 0 0
06 Jan. 2024
ROY
Royston Town
2 - 1
AFC Sudbury
YEL
30%
25%
46%
37 43 6 +1
X