FA Trophy . 1/32
Global 1-0
Leamington vs Northwich Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LEA
1 - 0
HIS
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LEA
2 - 0
GAI
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 3
LEA
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LEA
2 - 3
GUI
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VAU
2 - 1
LEA
45%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Northwich Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 0
NOR
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
NAN
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
DAR
0 - 1
NOR
49%
24%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
MOS
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 2
NOR
35%
23%
42%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |