National League North . Jor. 15

Leamington vs Hereford analysis

Leamington Hereford
39 ELO 38
-13.5% Tilt -2.8%
4420º General ELO ranking 4097º
175º Country ELO ranking 151º
ELO win probability
46.3%
Leamington
25.9%
Draw
27.8%
Hereford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
Leamington
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.8%
Win probability
Hereford
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leamington
+9%
-6%
Hereford

ELO progression

Leamington
Hereford
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leamington
Leamington
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2020
GLO
Gloucester City
1 - 0
Leamington
LEA
55%
23%
23%
40 44 4 0
19 Dec. 2020
WRE
Wrexham AFC
0 - 0
Leamington
LEA
46%
26%
28%
40 45 5 0
15 Dec. 2020
LEA
Leamington
5 - 0
St Ives Town
STI
68%
19%
12%
40 22 18 0
12 Dec. 2020
BRA
Bradford Park Avenue
1 - 3
Leamington
LEA
38%
23%
39%
39 34 5 +1
05 Dec. 2020
LEA
Leamington
1 - 1
Gateshead
GAT
28%
26%
46%
38 45 7 +1

Matches

Hereford
Hereford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2020
HER
Hereford
3 - 1
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
39%
26%
35%
36 39 3 0
19 Dec. 2020
NAN
Nantwich Town
0 - 1
Hereford
HER
58%
22%
20%
36 42 6 0
15 Dec. 2020
HER
Hereford
3 - 0
St. Neots Town
STN
55%
22%
23%
35 30 5 +1
12 Dec. 2020
HER
Hereford
2 - 1
Fylde
FYL
13%
20%
67%
33 50 17 +2
08 Dec. 2020
CHE
Chester
5 - 3
Hereford
HER
69%
19%
12%
34 42 8 -1
X