Conference Premier Round 16

Leamington vs Bashley analysis

Leamington Bashley
44 ELO 49
15.6% Tilt 15.6%
5924º General ELO ranking 11457º
199º Country ELO ranking 654º
ELO win probability
43.6%
Leamington
24.1%
Draw
32.3%
Bashley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
Leamington
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.3%
Win probability
Bashley
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leamington
-11%
+3%
Bashley

ELO progression

Leamington
Bashley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leamington
Leamington
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2009
CAM
Cambridge City
2 - 2
Leamington
LEA
55%
23%
22%
45 51 6 0
07 Nov. 2009
LEA
Leamington
1 - 3
Truro City
WHI
43%
23%
34%
47 49 2 -2
31 Oct. 2009
LEA
Leamington
3 - 5
Didcot Town
DID
68%
18%
14%
48 38 10 -1
24 Oct. 2009
LEA
Leamington
2 - 1
Brackley Town
BRA
49%
23%
29%
47 48 1 +1
17 Oct. 2009
LEA
Leamington
1 - 2
Stourbridge
STO
64%
19%
17%
48 40 8 -1

Matches

Bashley
Bashley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2009
BAS
Bashley
2 - 1
Staines Town
STA
39%
25%
36%
48 51 3 0
07 Nov. 2009
BAS
Bashley
0 - 2
Cambridge City
CAM
46%
25%
29%
49 50 1 -1
31 Oct. 2009
BAS
Bashley
2 - 1
Marlow FC
MAR
53%
22%
25%
49 42 7 0
24 Oct. 2009
BAS
Bashley
0 - 4
Hednesford Town
HED
61%
21%
17%
50 44 6 -1
17 Oct. 2009
BEA
Beaconsfield
1 - 4
Bashley
BAS
30%
25%
45%
49 37 12 +1