Non League Div One Southern Midlands Jor. 24

Leamington vs Aylesbury United analysis

Leamington Aylesbury United
49 ELO 38
3.1% Tilt 10.1%
4498º General ELO ranking 10906º
172º Country ELO ranking 657º
ELO win probability
69.9%
Leamington
18.1%
Draw
11.9%
Aylesbury United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
Leamington
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.9%
Win probability
Aylesbury United
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leamington
+21%
+30%
Aylesbury United

ELO progression

Leamington
Aylesbury United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leamington
Leamington
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2009
LEA
Leamington
0 - 3
Sutton Coldfield Town
SUT
68%
19%
14%
51 39 12 0
31 Jan. 2009
LEA
Leamington
3 - 5
AFC Sudbury
YEL
68%
19%
13%
52 40 12 -1
27 Jan. 2009
LEA
Leamington
2 - 1
Romulus
ROM
71%
18%
11%
52 38 14 0
24 Jan. 2009
STO
Stourport Swifts
1 - 2
Leamington
LEA
14%
20%
66%
51 23 28 +1
20 Jan. 2009
NUN
Nuneaton Town
0 - 2
Leamington
LEA
42%
26%
32%
50 52 2 +1

Matches

Aylesbury United
Aylesbury United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jan. 2009
MAL
Malvern Town
1 - 1
Aylesbury United
AYL
13%
22%
65%
38 17 21 0
17 Jan. 2009
STO
Stourport Swifts
1 - 2
Aylesbury United
AYL
25%
25%
50%
37 25 12 +1
01 Jan. 2009
AYL
Aylesbury United
2 - 0
Rothwell Town
ROT
72%
19%
9%
37 22 15 0
27 Dec. 2008
CHE
Chesham United
2 - 3
Aylesbury United
AYL
67%
19%
14%
36 45 9 +1
20 Dec. 2008
LEI
Leighton Town
1 - 0
Aylesbury United
AYL
43%
26%
31%
37 38 1 -1
X