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Conference North. Matchday 9

Leamington vs Alfreton Town analysis

Leamington Alfreton Town
5 ELO 17
-29% Tilt -24%
9314º General ELO ranking 7742º
470º Country ELO ranking 173º
ELO win probability
36.1%
Leamington
33.2%
Draw
30.7%
Alfreton Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
Leamington
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
+2
9.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
33.2%
Draw
0-0
17.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
33.2%
30.7%
Win probability
Alfreton Town
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leamington
+2%
-28%
Alfreton Town

Points and table prediction

Leamington
Their league position
Alfreton Town
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
21º
12º
12
10º
22º
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
21º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gloucester City
35
87
72%
Fylde
30
67
8%
Chester
28
75
6%
Brackley Town
27
67
5%
Kidderminster Harriers
25
71
7%
Boston United
23
72
5%
Chorley
23
48
16º
5%
York City
22
71
5%
Leamington
22
57
11º
5%
Gateshead
10º
21
50
14º
5%
Farsley
11º
21
48
18º
5%
Hereford
12º
20
68
4%
Spennymoor Town
13º
20
63
5%
AFC Telford United
14º
19
55
12º
5%
Bradford Park Avenue
15º
18
54
13º
5%
Curzon Ashton
16º
17
48
17º
5%
Southport
17º
16
49
15º
5%
Kettering Town
18º
15
57
10º
5%
Darlington FC
19º
13
41
20º
6%
Guiseley
20º
12
45
19º
6%
Alfreton Town
21º
12
40
21º
7%
Blyth Spartans
22º
6
33
22º
12%
Expected probabilities
Leamington
Alfreton Town
Champion
3% 0%
Promotion playoffs
28% 18%
Mid-table
60% 66%
Relegation
8% 16%

ELO progression

Alfreton Town
THE
Leamington
LEA
Darlington FC
DAR
Curzon Ashton
CUR
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
Bradford Park Avenue
BRA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leamington
Leamington
1%
X%
2%
ELO LEA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2021
CHO
Chorley
1 - 2
Leamington
LEA
50%
26%
24%
93 314 221 0
07 Nov. 2020
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
1 - 1
Leamington
LEA
45%
27%
28%
93 118 25 0
03 Nov. 2020
FAR
Farsley
1 - 1
Leamington
LEA
49%
26%
25%
83 215 132 0
05 Dec. 2020
LEA
Leamington
1 - 1
Gateshead
GAT
42%
27%
31%
93 234 -141 0
10 Oct. 2020
CHE
Chester
3 - 2
Leamington
LEA
47%
27%
26%
84 235 151 -1

Matches

Alfreton Town
Alfreton Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO THE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2020
THE
Alfreton Town
3 - 1
Farsley
FAR
46%
27%
27%
233 259 -26 +1
10 Nov. 2020
THE
Alfreton Town
0 - 2
Brackley Town
BRA
39%
28%
33%
234 427 -193 -1
07 Nov. 2020
BRA
Bradford Park Avenue
2 - 0
Alfreton Town
THE
41%
28%
31%
235 117 -118 -1
03 Nov. 2020
THE
Alfreton Town
1 - 1
Fylde
FYL
46%
27%
27%
234 257 -23 0
31 Oct. 2020
THE
AFC Telford United
0 - 1
Alfreton Town
THE
47%
27%
26%
234 259 25 +1