Copa Federacion . 1/16
Global 1-2
Lealtad Villaviciosa vs Bergantiños FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
LEA
0 - 0
SIE
77%
15%
7%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEA
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LEA
1 - 1
COV
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CLA
1 - 2
LEA
9%
17%
74%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LEA
2 - 1
ESM
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
PON
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
OUR
1 - 0
BER
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
BER
2 - 1
SOM
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
RCF
2 - 0
BER
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
RIB
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |