Le Roeulx vs Montignies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
38.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
12º
16º
15º
24
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
86% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Roeulx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MOL
3 - 1
LER
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LER
3 - 4
SOI
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RMO
0 - 1
LER
36%
22%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LER
2 - 8
PER
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 1
LER
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Montignies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
LUI
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RAN
3 - 1
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
9 - 1
MON
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
SOL
48%
23%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |