Le Puy vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
LPV
2 - 0
NAN
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ANG
1 - 1
LPV
27%
29%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LPV
4 - 1
MON
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
BOU
0 - 1
LPV
12%
25%
63%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
COL
0 - 0
LPV
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AUR
3 - 2
AIN
35%
23%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
THO
3 - 2
AUR
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 0
LIM
28%
25%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BOU
3 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 2
VEL
71%
17%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |