Le Messager Ngozi vs Rukinzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 1
NGO
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
NGO
2 - 0
RMU
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LEL
0 - 4
NGO
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
NGO
0 - 0
KAY
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
BUM
1 - 1
NGO
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rukinzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BUM
2 - 0
RUK
44%
24%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RUK
2 - 1
STA
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
RUK
1 - 1
DYN
58%
23%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
BUJ
0 - 1
RUK
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RUK
2 - 0
MFC
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |