Le Messager Ngozi vs Kayanza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
BUM
1 - 1
NGO
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
NGO
2 - 0
MUZ
71%
18%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ATH
0 - 2
NGO
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
NGO
2 - 2
MFC
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
DYN
0 - 1
NGO
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kayanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
KAY
1 - 0
STA
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
RUK
0 - 0
KAY
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
KAY
3 - 0
FLA
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
KAY
4 - 1
BUJ
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
BUM
2 - 3
KAY
53%
23%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |